Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.238080 0.275094 0.317242 0.369058 0.431406 0.504467 0.597229
2025-09-14 0.176854 0.222960 0.281375 0.361939 0.471953 0.619586 0.837322
2025-09-21 0.145325 0.194952 0.262887 0.365023 0.518904 0.749329 1.135152
2025-09-28 0.123474 0.173675 0.246629 0.364075 0.555798 0.870660 1.459864
2025-10-05 0.110423 0.161773 0.240377 0.374841 0.610961 1.033721 1.914928
2025-10-12 0.099731 0.151256 0.233724 0.382498 0.661349 1.201797 2.449779
2025-10-19 0.090931 0.142158 0.227447 0.388833 0.709959 1.380411 3.090288
2025-10-26 0.084493 0.135879 0.224656 0.400462 0.771173 1.604511 3.957854
2025-11-02 0.077906 0.128370 0.218394 0.403949 0.816051 1.807186 4.888826
2025-11-09 0.071870 0.121018 0.211255 0.404130 0.853491 2.005209 5.936649
2025-11-16 0.066243 0.113710 0.203130 0.400636 0.881413 2.189064 7.072219
2025-11-23 0.061002 0.106519 0.194253 0.393859 0.899611 2.353317 8.268795
2025-11-30 0.057926 0.103201 0.192868 0.404213 0.966334 2.696092 10.548547
2025-12-07 0.053503 0.096800 0.184358 0.396491 0.982717 2.888282 12.360702
2025-12-14 0.050515 0.092942 0.180726 0.399978 1.032412 3.220805 15.325395
2025-12-21 0.047479 0.088668 0.175647 0.398928 1.068659 3.524705 18.577282
2025-12-28 0.045684 0.086775 0.175600 0.410953 1.149940 4.054519 24.265287
2026-01-04 0.043792 0.084479 0.174336 0.419508 1.223124 4.598868 31.259697
2026-01-11 0.041957 0.082124 0.172639 0.426590 1.294144 5.184548 40.159487
2026-01-18 0.040603 0.080690 0.172959 0.439595 1.391895 5.979747 53.822376
2026-01-25 0.038846 0.078185 0.170362 0.443497 1.456994 6.656671 68.779262
2026-02-01 0.037037 0.075402 0.166755 0.443699 1.508117 7.300943 86.349542
2026-02-08 0.035173 0.072333 0.162089 0.439790 1.541490 7.870596 105.914199